11 AI Power Plays Altman & Musk Say Will Rewrite 2025. .Ā
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What if the āAI boomā weāre living through turns out to be the warm-up act? Sam Altman just hinted at ChatGPTs that ship with robots in the box, while Elon Musk wants Grok to delete and rewrite humanityās entire knowledge baseāthen train on its own rewriteā¦
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AI INSIGHTS
š§ Ā āAGI or Bustā ā Sam Altman on Conviction, Compute, and the Next Interface Shake-Up
Sam Altman just pulled back the curtain on how (and why) OpenAI went from 8 people around a whiteboard to the fifth-biggest site on the internetāand why the real action is still ahead of us.
From Coin-Flip to Category King
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2015: AGI sounded like sci-fi. Even Altman admits it was a 50/50 call to start OpenAI.
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Talent hack: by aiming for a truly āone-of-oneā mission, they vacuum-sealed the smartest 1% who cared.
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Zero revenue for yearsāthen ChatGPT lands, and traffic rockets past every consumer app launch record.
The Current āProduct Overhangā Is Massive
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GPT-4o Mini and o3 reasoning models can do far more than todayās products expose.
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API prices are collapsing (ālast week o3 cost 5Ć more than todayā) and an open-source model ābetter than youāre hoping forā drops soon.
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Translation: even if model quality froze tomorrow (it wonāt), weāre still at the 1960s of AI product design.
Memory Is the Sneak-Peek of a Persistent AI Companion
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Altmanās favorite 2024 feature: ChatGPT Memory.
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Vision: an always-on agent that learns you, hooks into all your data, and proactively actsāwithout spamming you with notifications.
Hardware Is (Finally) on the Table
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A ānew deviceā is comingāco-designed with Jony Iveāto make the interface āmelt away.ā
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Long-term: the high-tier ChatGPT subscription might ship with a humanoid robot in the box. Yes, really.
Compute & Energy Are the New Oil
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OpenAI is sprinting toward āthe largest, most expensive infrastructure in the worldā and openly wishes your local devices would shoulder half the workload.
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The limiting factor soon isnāt algorithms, itās energyāand maybe parking a datacenter in orbit.
Why It Matters
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Startup greenfield: The āground is shaking.ā When cycle times compress this hard, startups wināif they stop cloning ChatGPT and attack untouched spaces.
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Defensibility ā model access: Memory, data integrations, and user trust are the new moats.
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One-person leverage: In Altmanās 10-year view, a tiny team with reasoning agents + abundant energy equals āunimaginable super-intelligenceā at human fingertips.
Bottom line: Bet on contrarian conviction, design for agents (not dashboards), and treat compute like scarce goldāuntil the robot courier shows up with your next hardware upgrade.
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TODAY IN AI
AI HIGHLIGHTS
šĀ Elon Musk wants Grok to ārewrite the entire corpus of human knowledge.ā After that, heāll retrain the bot on its own rewrite to purge āfar too much garbage.ā Orwell calledāhe wants his plot back.
š¼Ā Reid Hoffman says AI will transform jobs, not spark a āwhite-collar bloodbath.ā Think Excel-for-everything, not unemployment lines; person-plus-AI is his long-game.
šØ Comic legend Paul Pope isnāt losing sleep over AI plagiarismāheās more worried about killer robots and mass surveillance. Brushes, ink, and a healthy dose of dystopia remain his weapons of choice.
š ļø Amazon is bundling QuickSight, Q Business, and Q Apps into a single āQ Business Suiteā workspace. One interface to rule your data, automate workflowsāand maybe retire todayās Q chatbot.
š§ āGodfather of AIā Geoffrey Hinton says Google throttled early chatbots over reputational risk, while OpenAI sped ahead with nothing to lose. Whether Sam Altmanās moral compass points true north? āWeāll see,ā Hinton shrugs.
š° AI Daily Fundraising 1:Ā Couchbase, the developer-focused data platform behind mission-critical AI apps, agreed to an all-cash $1.5B acquisition by Haveli Investments, taking the company private at a 67% premium to its pre-deal price.
š° AI Daily Fundraising 2:Ā Profound landed a $20M Series A led by Kleiner Perkins to scale its AI-visibility toolkit, which already parses 100M+ AI queries a month and lifts brandsā share-of-voice by up to 40% within 60 days.
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š§ Ā Vizologi is an AI-driven engine that sparks ideas, maps markets & auto-drafts business plans fast.
AI QUICK HITS
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š¤ Mistral AI CEO Arthur Mensch says the real AI danger is deskilling, not white-collar wipeoutsākeep humans āin the loopā or risk lazy minds.
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š Mistral drops Small 3.2, slashing repeat-loops by 50% and boosting instruction accuracy to 65% on WildBench.
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š° Meta quietly courted Perplexity before its $14.3B Scale AI stakeāZuck is still shopping for an edge.
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šļø Midjourneyās new image-to-video tool brings stills to life but tops out at 480p and costs 8Ć an image.
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āļø The $939B Question: Is AI Eating SaaS or Feeding It?
AI CHART
š§©Ā Byte-Level AU-Net Chases Llama on 1% of the Compute
Metaās new Autoregressive U-Net (AU-Net) learns its own tokens on the flyāno BPE vocab neededāand still runs neck-and-neck with a rigorously tuned BPE Transformer. Even wilder: it keeps sight of Llama 3.1 8B while burning ~100Ć less FLOPs.
Figure 3, decoded
ā Six benchmarks, one story. The 2- and 3-stage AU-Nets hug the BPE baseline curve from 1e19 ā 1e22 FLOPs, then inch toward Llama 3.1 8Bāwhich spent two orders of magnitude more compute.
ā Compute parity, accuracy parity. At equal budgets the 3-stage model actually beats BPE on Hellaswag & ARC-Easy, and closes the gap on TQA as training steps climb.
ā Cross-lingual freebie. Working at the byte level gives low-resource languages a free bump: Germanic tongues gain ā +3 EM, Romance ā +4 EM on multilingual MMLU.
ā Depth over width. Scaling 1B params through 2 ā 3 ā 4 stages lifts Hellaswag from 70.2 ā 73.7 and MMLU from 27 ā 31.7āall on the same data budget.
Why it matters:
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Tokenization goes dynamic. The network pools bytesāwordsāphrases during the forward pass, so the āvocabularyā adapts per sequence instead of being hard-coded.
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Efficiency ā» brute force. Matching Llama-grade performance without Llama-grade bills hints at a coming wave of architectural gains, not just bigger GPU clusters.
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Multilingual bonus, no extra data. Byte patterns transfer across Latin-script languages automaticallyāpromising for markets where labeled text is scarce.
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Agents that read their own logs. Byte-level handling means AU-Net can flip between code, config files, and emoji-laden chats without falling back to
unk
tokens.
Bottom line: AU-Net shows we can squeeze more juice out of every FLOP by rethinking the shape of a model, not just its size. The tokenizer might be the next thing to disappear.
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